domenica 21 aprile 2013

The old guard is back in charge


Apr 21st 2013
WHAT we are witnessing in Italy is remarkable, and at times scarcely believable. On April 20th, after five failed attempts to elect a new president, an electoral college that includes the members of both chambers of parliament, plumped for the incumbent, Giorgio Napolitano, who is 87 years old. Nicholas Spiro, a sovereign risk analyst, called it “the clearest indication yet of the utter dysfunctionality of Italian politics”.
Desperate to retire Mr Napolitano had ruled himself out as a candidate. But the leaders of the two biggest mainstream parties, Pier Luigi Bersani, the secretary general of the centre-left Democratic Party (PD), and Silvio Berlusconi, the de facto leader of the conservative People of Freedom (PdL), had earlier gone to the Quirinal palace to beg him to stay on. Poor Mr Napolitano wearily agreed.
In the ballot that followed he received 738 votes out of a possible 1,007. It is the first time in the 65-year history of the Italian republic that a president has been voted in for a second term.
The insistence on Mr Napolitano’s return was both an extraordinary admission of defeat, and an equally striking act of defiance. It came against a background of almost deafening calls from the younger generation of Italians for new faces, new policies and a form of politics less oppressively dominated by the country's almighty parties.
The most obvious and radical expression of their demands is in the Five Star Movement (M5S), co-founded by a former comedian, Beppe Grillo. But it is also clearly discernible in the radical Left, Ecology and Freedom (SEL) party and in parts of the traditional parties, notably the moderate faction within the PD that looks to Matteo Renzi, the young mayor of Florence. The mainstream party leaderships ignored them all.
Mr Bersani and Mr Berlusconi had originally tried to stitch-up the presidency by agreeing on Franco Marini, a former Christian Democrat trade unionist. When that failed, and with the moment approaching at which a candidate needed only to get more than 50% of the votes, Mr Bersani changed tack. He opted instead for a clearly partisan choice, the former centre-left prime minister and European Commission president, Romano Prodi. But the luckless Mr Prodi’s candidacy was torpedoed by rebels from within the PD. It remains unclear whether they were members of Mr Renzi's admirers or followers of another ex-prime minister, Massimo D'Alema, who helped bring down Mr Prodi back in the 1990s.
At all events, factional interests took precedence over those of the party in a way that its members, and the voters, will not easily forget. Mr Bersani, doubly humiliated, announced that he would resign as soon as the presidential contest was settled.
When the deciding vote was cast in favour of Mr Napolitano, Mr Bersani wept. Mr Berlusconi smiled broadly. And with good reason. The re-election of Mr Napolitano leaves the PD (never a very convincing fusion of ex-communists and former Christian Democrats) in outright disarray. It also revives the prospects of a left-right coalition of the sort that Mr Berlusconi has been calling for ever since the general election two months ago gave Italy a hung parliament. That would not perhaps hand the widely discredited former prime minister a seat in cabinet, but it would most certainly hand him renewed influence over the affairs of the nation at a time when he is a defendant in four trials.
That is one possible outcome. The name most widely touted as the next head of government was that of the 74 year-old Giuliano Amato who first held the job more than 20 years ago. The other possibility is that Mr Napolitano could form another non-party, technocratic government like the one headed by Mario Monti, the outgoing prime minister.
Mr Grillo called for a demonstration in Rome on April 21st, describing the re-election of the president a "coup d'etat" by the old guard. It was not that. The parties who elected Mr Napolitano took roughly two-thirds of the votes in the general election. And, in any case, Mr Grillo, who has never been elected by anyone, is not in a position to give lessons on democracy.
There is a strong case for arguing that this lacerating presidential ballot has re-drawn more starkly than ever before the battle lines in Italian politics. Once they ran between right and left. Now they separate the old and tired from the new and young. For the foreseeable future, the old and tired are firmly back in control.

Italy’s Napolitano re-elected as head of state

By Guy Dinmore in Rome  April 20, 2013
Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti casts his ballot during the presidential election in the lower house of the parliament in Rome
Reuters

Giorgio Napolitano, Italy’s 87-year-old head of state, was elected by parliament for a second term on Saturday as the country’s deadlocked parties begged him to remain in office to break the impasse resulting from inconclusive general elections held two months ago.
Mr Napolitano had previously rejected requests to stand for an unprecedented second term, with his seven-year mandate due to end in mid-May. But Italy’s most respected statesman caved in on Saturday after it became obvious that a deeply divided parliament was incapable of reaching an agreement on his successor after five rounds of voting.

Italian commentators on all sides saw the election of Mr Napolitano as the clearest indictment of the political system, with the centre-left Democratic party in particular a victim of bitter infighting leaving it on the brink of demise. Party leader Pierluigi Bersani handed in his resignation on Friday night after a party revolt led to the defeat of his candidate, former prime minister Romano Prodi, as head of state.
The deal to re-elect Mr Napolitano was struck by the Democrats along with caretaker prime minister Mario Monti, who leads a small centrist party, and Silvio Berlusconi, head of the centre-right People of Liberty.
But Beppe Grillo, the comic activist leading the anti-establishment Five Star Movement, denounced the agreement as a “coup d’état” and set out to drive to Rome from northern Italy to join his supporters already venting their anger outside parliament.

“There are decisive moments in the history of a nation,” he blogged. “Tonight I will be in front of parliament. I will stay there as long as is necessary. There have to be millions of us.”
Riot police sealed off the area around parliament as hundreds of protesters from the Five Star Movement and far-left and extreme right groups started to converge. Leftwing groups were waving red banners and chanting “What’s the solution? Revolution.”
Inside parliament deputies of his movement, the third largest force after winning a quarter of the vote in February’s general elections, voted for Stefano Rodota, a leftwing academic and jurist, as their candidate. The final count at parliament’s sixth attempt to elect a head of state saw Mr Napolitano take 738 votes and Mr Rodota 217.
Renato Brunetta, parliamentary leader of the centre-right, denounced Mr Grillo’s protest as “comic Fascism”, with other politicians making comparisons with the 1922 March on Rome of former dictator Benito Mussolini. Speakers of parliament’s two chambers described Mr Grillo’s “coup” remark as slanderous.
Despite the respect held for Mr Napolitano among many Italians, the manner of his election by the mainstream parties after a closed doors deal is likely to fuel support for the Five Star Movement after riding a wave of popular anger with the political elite and Mr Monti’s austerity policies in the February elections.
Nicholas Spiro, a sovereign risk analyst, said Mr Napolitano’s election was “the clearest indication yet of the utter dysfunctionality of Italian politics . . . the eurozone’s third-largest economy is, to all intents and purposes, ungovernable.”
Mr Napolitano, said by those close to him to be furious with the inability of the country’s politicians to bury their differences and reach agreement on a new government, is expected to relaunch efforts to form a new administration with a limited mandate to reform the electoral law and initiate measures to drag Italy out of its longest postwar recession.
Mr Berlusconi’s People of Liberty party reiterated its willingness to join a “grand coalition”, a solution that Mr Bersani had repeatedly rejected but one the Democrats might now be forced to consider.
Once elections are held, possibly by October, and a new government is formed then Mr Napolitano would be likely to step down, commentators said.
The Democrats now face the task of finding a new leader, with the leftwing reeling from its gravest crisis since the dissolution of the Communist party in 1991. Matteo Renzi, the young reformist mayor of Florence who in recent weeks had been increasingly vocal in his attacks on Mr Bersani, is seen as the leading contender. But his candidacy could also split the party should its more leftist factions decide to break away.
For the moment opinion polls give a lead to Mr Berlusconi’s centre-right. The former three-time prime minister is clearly relishing the prospect of campaigning against his disintegrating rivals, though wary of the momentum behind Mr Grillo who can take the most credit for exacerbating the faultlines within the Democrats.

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2013.